BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Morehead St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 123 Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength =  100.12
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-4) | District: 1B-01 Record: (4-6)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W      98.26  38  31    2 110 ( 6- 5) Allen                  -2.70      7.91    9.70                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L   * 117.65  13  41   1B   6 (12- 5) Illinois St            16.68 *  -16.12  -44.68                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    L   *  92.76   7  56   1B  17 ( 7- 5) Austin Peay            -8.20 *  -33.28  -40.80                      
 4 09/20/2025 Home    W      91.95  45  28   NA  51 ( 4- 6) Kentucky Christian     -9.01     -9.17   26.01                      
 5 09/27/2025 Away    L * *  81.94   0  41   1B  70 (10- 2) Presbyterian          -19.03    -31.37  -21.97                      
 6 10/04/2025 Home    L * * 108.27  28  35   1B  87 ( 7- 4) Dayton                  7.31     -1.73  -14.31                      
 7 10/11/2025 Away    L * *  81.92  14  21   1B 128 ( 3- 9) Stetson               -19.05     13.58   12.05                      
 8 10/18/2025 Home    W * * 111.10  23  21   1B 102 ( 5- 7) Marist                 10.14    -18.83   -8.14                      
 9 10/25/2025 Away    W * * 102.09  17  13   1B 126 ( 2-10) Valparaiso              1.13      8.04    2.87                      
10 11/01/2025 Home    W * *  92.51  28  24   1B 127 ( 2-10) Davidson               -8.45     20.26   12.45                      
11 11/08/2025 Home    W * * 112.09  31  30   1B  96 ( 6- 6) Butler                 11.12    -19.69  -10.12                      
12 11/22/2025 Away    L * * 121.03  10  17   1B  60 ( 8- 4) Drake                  20.07    -30.25  -27.07                      
      Averages             100.97  21.2 29.8

Best game:  121.03 = 7 point loss to Drake
Worst game:  81.92 = 7 point loss to Stetson
Team stdev:  13.19